Last year, I said that I would take O.J. Mayo as the #1 pick because I thought he had the attributes to be a star in the NBA, and when picking first, you have to draft a star. I favored Kevin Durant over Greg Oden for the same reason, and going back a couple more years, I favored Dwight Howard over Emeka Okafur because Okafur was going to be a safe pick and a pretty good player, but Howard had superstar potential. At #1, you cannot pass up the superstar.
This year, Oklahoma's Blake Griffin is everyone's #1 pick. But, most people seem to agree that there is not a superstar in the draft. Griffin should be a very good pro, and, to me, is probably a harder working, slightly bigger version of Michael Beasley, though Beasley probably has a better all-around skill set. Some call him the next Karl Malone - if he is that, then he is definitely the #1 pick.
I do not believe in the star potential of many of the top players. I like James Harden. Hasheem Thabeet will block shots, but he will never be a star. He's not a better player than either of the Lopez brothers or Roy Hibbert who were not top ten picks last season. I love Greg Monroe's skills, but I would not take a player who appears "soft" with the #1 pick because he likely does not have the mentality to be THE GUY on a championship team. Choosing #1, you have to pick the guy that you think can be THE GUY on a championship team.
Right now, if I had the #1 draft pick - before watching players in the NCAA Tournament - Tyreke Evans would be near or at the top of the list. I have not watched him closely enough to say for sure that I would take him #1, but, of all the players likely to be in this year's draft, Evans is the player who I believe has superstar potential. He's 6'5 and playing point guard and leading Memphis toward a #1 seed.
I checked some mock drafts and nobody has Evans in the lottery, so maybe I am crazy. We'll see in the NCAA Tournament when I can watch some of the top prospects a little more closely.
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8 comments:
What about Ricky Rubio?
Memphis Tiger fan here.
Tyreke Evans is not a true point guard, he's just playing point guard in extenuating circumstances. Evans playing point guard is much like Michael Jordan playing "point guard" for the 1995-96 Bulls with Scottie Pippen playing small forward (the Tigers have Antonio Anderson in that role).
Evans has good deal of potential as a pro, and some team is going to draft him in the teens or early twenties and be quite pleased.
I don't really think he is a point guard, either, just like I did not think that Bayless, Gordon or Mayo was a point guard last year. However, the fact that Memphis' offense runs better with him at the point helps his stock, imo. I see him as a player a lot like O.J. Mayo or Dwyane Wade: a guy who can be the the #1 guy and score, but also creates from his dribble penetration for other players rather than being a single-minded scorer, like a Ben Gordon-type.
I don't know if he will develop into that star and the tournament should tell us more. My point is that right now, I' leaning toward Evans as the guy with the most potential to be THE GUY because I see other top propects in the draft - Griffin, Harden, Thabeet - as complimentary players or Robin's to someone else's batman. I'm simply arguing that right now, I think Evans has the best chance to be a Batman.
As for Rubio, I like him, but am unsure whether he will enter the draft, based on differing reports. So, at this point, I am assuming he is not in the draft. Also, I don't know if he'll ever be a Batman. If I'm the Knicks, running D'Antonio's system, I take him.
How do you feel about Tyreke now? Looked to have a lot of the star potential you talked about during the tournament run of Memphis and leading a top 10 NCAA without another single NBA prospect on it as a frosh has to mean something.
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